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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.39+3.34vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.77+1.17vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.37+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.47+0.40vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-2.81+2.05vs Predicted
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6Washington University-0.76-2.89vs Predicted
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7Case Western Reserve University-1.44-2.71vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-4.58+1.00vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-4.61-0.01vs Predicted
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11Hope College-4.65-0.92vs Predicted
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12Hillsdale College-4.31-2.31vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-3.10-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.17Hope College-0.770.2%1st Place
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4.29Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Chicago-1.470.1%1st Place
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7.05Michigan State University-2.810.0%1st Place
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3.11Washington University-0.760.2%1st Place
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4.29Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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10.0Saginaw Valley State University-4.580.0%1st Place
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9.99Western Michigan University-4.610.0%1st Place
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10.08Hope College-4.650.0%1st Place
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9.69Hillsdale College-4.310.0%1st Place
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7.58Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Warren | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 21.5% | 22.0% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 13.8% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 9.8% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talena Monasmith | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Flinn Opel | 23.9% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 13.6% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Wilcox | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 26.9% |
| Kristofer Fedje | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 25.4% | 24.1% |
| Connor Lum | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 24.1% | 27.7% |
| Vivian Stewart | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 20.1% | 19.7% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.