← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hope College-0.77+2.33vs Predicted
-
2Washington University-0.76+1.34vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-1.39+1.57vs Predicted
-
4Case Western Reserve University-1.44+0.61vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University-1.37-0.56vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago-1.47-1.39vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-1.99-1.31vs Predicted
-
8Grand Valley State University-3.10-0.09vs Predicted
-
9Saginaw Valley State University-4.58+1.69vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University-4.17-0.07vs Predicted
-
11Western Michigan University-4.61-0.33vs Predicted
-
12Hillsdale College-4.31-1.68vs Predicted
-
13Hope College-4.65-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33Hope College-0.770.2%1st Place
-
3.34Washington University-0.760.2%1st Place
-
4.57University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.61Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
-
4.44Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.61University of Chicago-1.470.1%1st Place
-
5.69Purdue University-1.990.1%1st Place
-
7.91Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
-
10.69Saginaw Valley State University-4.580.0%1st Place
-
9.93Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
-
10.67Western Michigan University-4.610.0%1st Place
-
10.32Hillsdale College-4.310.0%1st Place
-
10.9Hope College-4.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Henry | 22.4% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Flinn Opel | 21.6% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Glen Warren | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia DeGrella | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 22.0% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Wilcox | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 24.6% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 11.3% |
| Kristofer Fedje | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 20.4% | 20.5% |
| Vivian Stewart | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 16.3% |
| Connor Lum | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.