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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.39+3.52vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.77+1.36vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.76+0.29vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.37+0.49vs Predicted
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5Case Western Reserve University-1.44-0.42vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.99-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.47-2.38vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-3.10-0.11vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-4.61+1.76vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-4.58+0.66vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-4.31-0.87vs Predicted
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12Hope College-4.65-1.09vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University-4.17-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.36Hope College-0.770.2%1st Place
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3.29Washington University-0.760.2%1st Place
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4.49Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.58Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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5.7Purdue University-1.990.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Chicago-1.470.1%1st Place
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7.89Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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10.76Western Michigan University-4.610.0%1st Place
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10.66Saginaw Valley State University-4.580.0%1st Place
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10.13Hillsdale College-4.310.0%1st Place
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10.91Hope College-4.650.0%1st Place
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10.09Michigan State University-4.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Warren | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 20.7% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Flinn Opel | 21.2% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia DeGrella | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kristofer Fedje | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 23.3% | 23.7% |
| Joshua Wilcox | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 23.1% |
| Vivian Stewart | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 11.5% |
| Connor Lum | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 28.1% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.