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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.76+2.17vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.77+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.39+1.32vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.37+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.47-0.58vs Predicted
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6Case Western Reserve University-1.44-1.58vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-3.10+0.46vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.81-1.05vs Predicted
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9Hillsdale College-4.31+0.54vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-4.58-1.01vs Predicted
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12Hope College-4.65-1.84vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-4.61-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Washington University-0.760.2%1st Place
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3.17Hope College-0.770.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.25Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Chicago-1.470.1%1st Place
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4.42Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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7.46Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.95Michigan State University-2.810.0%1st Place
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9.54Hillsdale College-4.310.0%1st Place
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9.99Saginaw Valley State University-4.580.0%1st Place
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10.16Hope College-4.650.0%1st Place
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10.13Western Michigan University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flinn Opel | 21.4% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 22.9% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Glen Warren | 13.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 11.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 11.4% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 24.4% | 19.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Talena Monasmith | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Vivian Stewart | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 21.1% | 14.6% |
| Joshua Wilcox | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 25.2% | 24.6% |
| Connor Lum | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 23.0% | 29.9% |
| Kristofer Fedje | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 23.1% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.