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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+3.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.64vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.54-0.60vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.57+3.72vs Predicted
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7American University2.24+0.78vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.61+1.57vs Predicted
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9William and Mary2.13-0.88vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.85-1.06vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07-5.37vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.84-3.89vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.55-1.86vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland0.26-2.41vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.84-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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4.03Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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9.72George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.78American University2.240.0%1st Place
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9.57Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.12William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.63Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.11Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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12.14Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
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14.03St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 13.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 20.6% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 17.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Billy Hluchan | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Isaac Clark | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Edward Doran | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 20.9% | 27.1% | 13.2% |
| John Bankert | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 31.3% | 18.8% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 18.0% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.