Race 1A

1st-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Timothy Hesse 40.8% 25.1% 17.2% 9.8% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Homa 13.8% 17.8% 18.4% 18.9% 16.9% 10.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Brian Zettlemoyer 8.0% 10.9% 14.1% 17.2% 24.0% 16.2% 7.3% 2.0% 0.2%
Emma Hershey 14.2% 15.8% 17.8% 19.6% 17.1% 11.2% 3.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Lucas Rodenroth 16.8% 21.9% 21.1% 19.7% 12.8% 5.5% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Emmalyn Holmquist 1.1% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.7% 7.4% 13.8% 22.8% 48.0%
Henrik Stjernfeldt 2.3% 4.0% 4.9% 5.9% 10.2% 22.7% 25.3% 18.9% 5.9%
William O'Haver 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.8% 11.0% 21.2% 28.1% 25.2%
Nolan Hammerschmidt 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 6.2% 14.4% 23.1% 26.7% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.