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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.77+2.19vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.76+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.39+1.32vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.37+0.25vs Predicted
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5Case Western Reserve University-1.44-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.47-1.53vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.81-0.09vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-3.10-1.49vs Predicted
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10Hope College-4.65+0.09vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-4.61-0.97vs Predicted
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12Hillsdale College-4.31-2.34vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-4.58-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Hope College-0.770.2%1st Place
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3.15Washington University-0.760.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
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4.25Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.37Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Chicago-1.470.1%1st Place
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6.91Michigan State University-2.810.0%1st Place
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7.51Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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10.09Hope College-4.650.0%1st Place
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10.03Western Michigan University-4.610.0%1st Place
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9.66Hillsdale College-4.310.0%1st Place
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10.05Saginaw Valley State University-4.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Henry | 21.3% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Flinn Opel | 23.4% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Glen Warren | 12.9% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 11.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talena Monasmith | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 23.5% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Connor Lum | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 25.6% | 25.4% |
| Kristofer Fedje | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 24.6% | 25.4% |
| Vivian Stewart | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 19.2% | 19.7% |
| Joshua Wilcox | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 23.7% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.