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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.76+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.39+2.30vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.77+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.47+0.48vs Predicted
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5Case Western Reserve University-1.44-0.63vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.37-2.70vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-3.10-0.55vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.81-2.05vs Predicted
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10Hillsdale College-4.31-0.46vs Predicted
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11Hope College-4.65-0.90vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-4.58-1.94vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-4.61-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Washington University-0.760.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
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3.18Hope College-0.770.2%1st Place
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4.48University of Chicago-1.470.1%1st Place
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4.37Case Western Reserve University-1.440.1%1st Place
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4.3Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
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7.45Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.95Michigan State University-2.810.0%1st Place
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9.54Hillsdale College-4.310.0%1st Place
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10.1Hope College-4.650.0%1st Place
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10.06Saginaw Valley State University-4.580.0%1st Place
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10.12Western Michigan University-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flinn Opel | 22.7% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Glen Warren | 10.5% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 23.0% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordi Malaret | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 24.4% | 19.5% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Talena Monasmith | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Vivian Stewart | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 23.9% | 20.1% | 15.3% |
| Connor Lum | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 26.0% | 26.9% |
| Joshua Wilcox | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 23.5% | 27.0% |
| Kristofer Fedje | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 22.6% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.