← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College1.24+2.14vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.61+0.67vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.08+0.44vs Predicted
-
4University of Central Florida1.13-0.62vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida-0.14+0.37vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College0.49-1.66vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University-1.18-0.26vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
-
2.67Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
-
3.44University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
-
3.38University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
-
5.37University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
-
4.34Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
-
6.74Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
-
6.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 20.1% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 28.2% | 24.6% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Black | 17.4% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 16.8% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Blake March | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 27.6% | 21.7% | 7.9% |
| Peter Miller | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Drew Gourley | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 29.9% | 41.8% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 29.7% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.