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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.49+3.28vs Predicted
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2Rollins College1.24+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida1.13+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.08-0.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61-2.34vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.14-0.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.00vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.18-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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3.2Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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3.47University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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2.66Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida-0.140.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.67Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Miller | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Milo Miller | 19.4% | 18.5% | 21.4% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 17.9% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Black | 16.4% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Igoe | 29.0% | 24.9% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Blake March | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 25.5% | 21.2% | 9.0% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 23.6% | 53.4% |
| Drew Gourley | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 15.2% | 34.5% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.