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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.24+2.20vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+0.71vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.49+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida1.13-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.08-1.48vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-1.18+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.14-1.44vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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2.71Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.46Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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6.87Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.56University of South Florida-0.140.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 20.5% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 28.7% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Miller | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.6% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 17.6% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Black | 15.5% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Drew Gourley | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 51.1% |
| Blake March | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 23.0% | 16.1% |
| Kevin Ryan | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 32.3% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.