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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Central Florida1.13+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.08+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.14+2.45vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.24-0.69vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.49-0.49vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.61-3.33vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-1.18-0.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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5.45University of South Florida-0.140.1%1st Place
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3.31Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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4.51Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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2.67Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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6.93Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Beckmann | 19.1% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Black | 16.6% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Blake March | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 24.3% | 12.9% |
| Milo Miller | 18.4% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Peter Miller | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 27.8% | 25.4% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Drew Gourley | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 55.4% |
| Kevin Ryan | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 30.7% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.