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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida1.13+1.44vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.49+1.47vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.24-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.14+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.08-2.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-0.64vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.18-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.44University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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4.47Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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3.28Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.85Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 30.0% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 16.3% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Peter Miller | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Milo Miller | 18.1% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake March | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 23.3% | 12.7% |
| Matthew Black | 16.8% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Ryan | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 28.3% | 33.0% |
| Drew Gourley | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 25.7% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.