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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+3.79vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+1.91vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.07+2.52vs Predicted
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4William and Mary2.13+4.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.83-1.23vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.40vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.26+4.53vs Predicted
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9American University2.24-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.54-5.58vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.85-2.05vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.57-2.11vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.55-0.83vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.84-6.07vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-0.84-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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3.91Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.52Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.17William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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5.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.49Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
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7.81American University2.240.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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8.95Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.17Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.93Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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14.06St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 18.0% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 20.2% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| John Bankert | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 31.4% | 17.9% |
| Billy Hluchan | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 14.9% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Hussain Patel | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Edward Doran | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 22.7% | 28.3% | 12.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.