Race 2A

1st-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack Homa 14.6% 18.1% 18.7% 19.9% 15.8% 8.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Timothy Hesse 39.7% 25.0% 18.7% 10.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Zettlemoyer 9.1% 10.6% 13.0% 15.8% 25.9% 16.7% 7.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 16.1% 22.9% 20.2% 19.1% 11.8% 7.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Hershey 14.1% 15.3% 18.9% 20.2% 16.1% 10.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Henrik Stjernfeldt 2.8% 3.8% 4.4% 5.9% 11.2% 23.6% 24.3% 16.2% 7.7%
Nolan Hammerschmidt 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 4.3% 6.8% 13.1% 23.3% 26.1% 19.5%
William O'Haver 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 5.1% 12.1% 21.6% 30.2% 24.2%
Emmalyn Holmquist 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 5.4% 14.7% 23.8% 48.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.