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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.24+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.08+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.15+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida1.13-0.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+1.69vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.49-1.75vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-2.42+0.49vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.61-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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3.4University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.25Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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7.49Texas A&M University-2.420.0%1st Place
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2.57Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 19.2% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Black | 16.2% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Beatriz Newland | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 33.3% | 18.0% | 3.2% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 17.0% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 50.8% | 23.9% |
| Peter Miller | 10.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 21.8% | 6.8% | 0.6% |
| Jeffrey Souto | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 18.4% | 71.8% |
| Patrick Igoe | 30.4% | 24.6% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.