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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.08+1.29vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.49+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.15+1.31vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.29-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida1.13-2.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-0.79vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.18-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.29University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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4.22Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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5.31University of South Florida-0.150.1%1st Place
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4.59Rollins College0.290.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.76Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 33.8% | 25.7% | 18.9% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 17.7% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Miller | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Beatriz Newland | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 12.9% |
| Milo Fleming | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 5.0% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 19.2% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Ryan | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 27.3% | 30.4% |
| Drew Gourley | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 23.8% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.