← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College0.29+3.58vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College0.49+2.26vs Predicted
-
3University of Central Florida1.13+0.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami1.08-0.71vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University-1.18+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.61-3.52vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-0.80vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida-0.15-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.58Rollins College0.290.1%1st Place
-
4.26Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
-
3.16University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
-
3.29University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
-
6.81Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
-
2.48Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
-
6.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.0%1st Place
-
5.24University of South Florida-0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Fleming | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 5.6% |
| Peter Miller | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 2.6% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 21.2% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Black | 18.3% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Drew Gourley | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 50.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 31.0% | 27.9% | 19.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Ryan | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 16.0% | 27.6% | 29.9% |
| Beatriz Newland | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 21.5% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.