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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.34vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.49+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.15+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida1.13-0.96vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.62+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.08-2.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-0.99vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.18-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Jacksonville University1.610.4%1st Place
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4.07Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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5.82Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.1University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.55Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 35.5% | 25.9% | 19.4% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Beatriz Newland | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 10.5% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 20.0% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 24.4% | 20.2% |
| Matthew Black | 19.2% | 20.3% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Ryan | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 23.8% | 26.5% |
| Drew Gourley | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 24.5% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.