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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College-0.62+4.80vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida1.13+1.07vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61-0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.08-0.87vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.49-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.15-0.94vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.00vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.18-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.07University of Central Florida1.130.2%1st Place
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2.37Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.13University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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4.05Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.52Texas A&M University-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sexton | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 24.0% | 20.8% |
| Carlos Beckmann | 20.2% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 34.6% | 26.7% | 19.0% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Black | 20.9% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Peter Miller | 9.5% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Beatriz Newland | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 9.9% |
| Kevin Ryan | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 23.5% | 26.4% |
| Drew Gourley | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.