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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+3.87vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.45+3.61vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.18+4.57vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.08+0.18vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+1.84vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.94-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.66+1.70vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.58+0.69vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.96-4.48vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.07-3.05vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.23-3.13vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.33-1.28vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.07-6.05vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.02-1.99vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.96-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.61Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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7.57Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.18Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.84Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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4.58Princeton University0.940.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.69William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.52Penn State University0.960.1%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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7.87SUNY Maritime College-0.230.1%1st Place
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10.72Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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11.89Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 16.9% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Logan Mraz | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 22.9% | 38.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.