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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+4.71vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.94+2.33vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07+3.85vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79+0.95vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.33+5.73vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.66+3.10vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.96-2.76vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.08-3.83vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.02+2.13vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.18-3.36vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.23-4.19vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.58-4.35vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.07-7.15vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.96-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.33Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
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6.85Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.95Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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10.73Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.24Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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4.17Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.82Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.64Washington College-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.81SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.65William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.85Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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11.87Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Logan Mraz | 16.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 16.1% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 17.3% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 23.9% | 40.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 21.5% | 34.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.