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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.94+3.44vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+2.74vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96+1.42vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.08+0.23vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+1.88vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.45-0.12vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.58+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.66+0.93vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.33+1.79vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.07-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.02+1.09vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.96+0.01vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.23-5.28vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.18-6.52vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.07-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Princeton University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.74Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.42Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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4.23Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.88Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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5.88Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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8.47William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.79Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.92Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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12.09University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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12.01Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
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7.72SUNY Maritime College-0.230.1%1st Place
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7.48Washington College-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.92Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Mraz | 14.3% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 16.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 24.1% | 39.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.