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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.83+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+2.05vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.56+3.72vs Predicted
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4William and Mary2.13+3.96vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.07+0.41vs Predicted
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6American University2.24+1.73vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+2.13vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-4.09vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.84-0.18vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.52vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.26+1.40vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.57-2.46vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.55-2.23vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.85-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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6.72Georgetown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.96William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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5.41Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.73American University2.240.0%1st Place
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9.13Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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3.91Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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8.82Hampton University1.840.0%1st Place
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.4University of Maryland0.260.0%1st Place
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9.54George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.77Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.56Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 22.2% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 17.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Berne | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Isaac Clark | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 4.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 17.7% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| John Wallace | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Bankert | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 22.0% | 47.9% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
| Edward Doran | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 25.3% | 32.7% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.