← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan Technological University0.97+2.29vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.68+1.58vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.64+0.69vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame1.61-1.73vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-0.51+0.59vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.21-1.52vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-1.07-0.49vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.85-0.49vs Predicted
-
9Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.29Michigan Technological University0.9718.7%1st Place
-
3.58University of Michigan0.6814.6%1st Place
-
3.69Ohio State University0.6412.7%1st Place
-
2.27University of Notre Dame1.6137.5%1st Place
-
5.59University of Notre Dame-0.514.2%1st Place
-
4.48Marquette University0.218.5%1st Place
-
6.51Purdue University-1.071.9%1st Place
-
7.51Western Michigan University-1.851.4%1st Place
-
8.07Saint Mary's College-2.410.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 18.7% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 14.6% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 12.7% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Hesse | 37.5% | 26.1% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 28.1% | 23.9% | 9.6% |
| William O'Haver | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 34.8% | 30.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 22.9% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.