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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+4.89vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.08+2.09vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.33+7.64vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.94+0.66vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+0.17vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.07+1.16vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.37-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02+4.01vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-2.07vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.58-1.02vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.07-3.84vs Predicted
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12Penn State University0.96-7.32vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.18-5.19vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.66-4.98vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.96-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.09Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
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10.64Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.66Princeton University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.17Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.16Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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5.96SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.93Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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8.98William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.16Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.68Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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7.81Washington College-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.99Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 18.5% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Logan Mraz | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 24.0% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 23.5% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.