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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.94+3.47vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.08+2.05vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07+3.89vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96+0.56vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.45+0.93vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79-1.00vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.33+3.42vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.07-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.53-0.44vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.58-1.20vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-4.17vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.37-5.83vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.80-3.61vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-1.96-2.10vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.02-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Princeton University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.05Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.89Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.56Penn State University0.960.1%1st Place
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5.93Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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5.0Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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10.42Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.89Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.8William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.83Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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6.17SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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9.39Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.9Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Mraz | 14.5% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 23.7% | 35.1% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 21.3% | 38.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.