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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.94+3.48vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+2.76vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07+3.86vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.08+0.25vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.37+1.21vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+0.90vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.07-0.14vs Predicted
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8Penn State University0.96-3.66vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.53-0.48vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.45-4.08vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.33-0.26vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.58-3.18vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.80-3.64vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-1.96-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.02-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Princeton University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.76Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.86Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.25Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.21SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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6.9Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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6.86Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.34Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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8.52University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.92Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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10.74Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.82William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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9.36Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.85Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Mraz | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 15.8% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 16.9% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 22.5% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 37.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.