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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+3.72vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.96+2.35vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.08+1.13vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.23+3.82vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.94-0.39vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.07+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.53+1.39vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.45-2.18vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.18-1.25vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.07-2.98vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.33-0.18vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.58-3.16vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-6.22vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.02-1.99vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.96-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.35Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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4.13Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.61Princeton University0.940.1%1st Place
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7.02Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.82Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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7.75Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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7.02Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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10.82Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.84William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.78Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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11.93Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 16.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 18.2% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Mraz | 12.0% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 39.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 24.6% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.