← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.07+5.82vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.85+2.58vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College-0.23+4.77vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University0.45+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Queen's University1.08-0.73vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+0.88vs Predicted
-
7Penn State University0.96-2.70vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University0.94-3.48vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland-0.53-0.31vs Predicted
-
10Rutgers University-1.33+0.82vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-0.58-2.16vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-0.18-4.33vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech0.07-6.18vs Predicted
-
14University of Delaware-2.02-1.98vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University-1.96-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
-
4.58Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
-
7.77SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.9Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
-
4.27Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
-
6.88Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
-
4.3Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
-
4.52Princeton University0.940.1%1st Place
-
8.69University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
-
10.82Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
-
8.84William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
-
7.67Washington College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
6.82Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
-
12.02University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
-
11.92Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 15.2% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Mraz | 14.8% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 39.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 24.3% | 35.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.