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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+8.76vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+6.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.78+4.45vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+5.03vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+3.59vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.13vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+1.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.38+0.86vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+1.82vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.10+0.45vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.90+0.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-2.42vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-3.82vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.39-5.39vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.65-7.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-4.77vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.90-5.87vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.34-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.76Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.45College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.59Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.45Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.18University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.13Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Shannon Heausler | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Megan Magill | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.