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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.68+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.61+0.30vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64+0.71vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.97-0.76vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.21-0.54vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.07+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.51-1.39vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-2.41+0.11vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.85-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of Michigan0.6813.7%1st Place
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2.3University of Notre Dame1.6136.8%1st Place
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3.71Ohio State University0.6414.8%1st Place
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3.24Michigan Technological University0.9718.2%1st Place
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4.46Marquette University0.218.5%1st Place
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6.45Purdue University-1.072.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Notre Dame-0.514.2%1st Place
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8.11Saint Mary's College-2.410.7%1st Place
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7.44Western Michigan University-1.851.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Homa | 13.7% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Hesse | 36.8% | 25.9% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 14.8% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 18.2% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 27.8% | 24.1% | 9.1% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 22.9% | 12.9% | 3.6% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 21.2% | 57.2% |
| William O'Haver | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 35.0% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.