Race 14A

senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gavin Rudolph 18.4% 17.0% 15.7% 13.2% 11.3% 8.5% 6.3% 4.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Fitzgerald 11.1% 9.9% 11.1% 12.2% 11.2% 11.7% 10.1% 8.0% 6.8% 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
John Wallace 9.2% 10.8% 13.0% 9.7% 11.1% 11.5% 9.5% 8.9% 6.9% 5.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Isaac Clark 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 6.7% 7.2% 6.8% 8.4% 10.8% 12.7% 11.2% 9.0% 10.1% 4.9% 1.2%
John O'Riordan 2.1% 3.3% 4.4% 3.5% 4.3% 7.1% 8.3% 8.6% 9.1% 11.8% 13.0% 11.8% 9.6% 3.1%
Hussain Patel 1.7% 2.7% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 7.1% 9.6% 9.6% 15.9% 13.8% 12.6% 7.3%
Gordon Wolcott 17.2% 17.1% 13.6% 13.3% 11.5% 11.0% 6.4% 3.8% 3.3% 1.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 5.1% 4.3% 5.8% 7.4% 6.8% 7.1% 8.6% 12.3% 9.6% 10.1% 8.8% 8.1% 4.9% 1.1%
Alex Ramos 20.0% 19.3% 14.6% 14.1% 11.8% 8.2% 6.0% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Victoria Miller 2.8% 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 4.5% 5.4% 5.6% 9.1% 7.9% 13.1% 12.9% 15.6% 11.2% 5.7%
Tristan Berne 5.4% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 11.4% 9.4% 11.3% 9.1% 7.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Andrew Shoemaker 2.4% 2.4% 3.3% 4.5% 5.0% 6.7% 8.4% 8.9% 10.9% 12.4% 11.1% 11.1% 8.9% 4.0%
Edward Doran 1.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 3.5% 6.7% 6.8% 12.7% 25.5% 31.0%
John Bankert 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.4% 1.3% 1.0% 2.6% 2.3% 3.4% 3.8% 8.0% 9.6% 19.5% 45.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.