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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+3.12vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.33+7.78vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.94+1.22vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85+0.39vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.23+2.06vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.07+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.53+0.87vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.08-4.24vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.18-1.95vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.58-1.96vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.07-4.77vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.02-0.94vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.96-1.85vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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9.78Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.22Princeton University0.940.2%1st Place
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4.39Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.06SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.23Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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3.76Queen's University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.05Washington College-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.04William and Mary-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.23Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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11.15Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
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6.27Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 16.5% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Logan Mraz | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 14.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| James Fair | 18.9% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 22.3% | 36.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 22.8% | 39.7% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.