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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.61vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.57+0.63vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.54+1.74vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.63+0.53vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92+3.64vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.81+2.37vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.96vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.81+0.37vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.87-0.65vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-3.06vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.40-3.80vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-2.23-0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.96-0.30vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-2.28-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.82-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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2.63Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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4.74Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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4.53Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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8.64Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.37Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.04SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.37Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.35Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.94Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.2William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.55Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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11.54Drexel University-2.280.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 18.9% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Thompson | 31.3% | 25.0% | 19.1% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 19.3% | 26.6% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 22.6% | 50.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Walerys | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 27.3% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.