← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.62vs Predicted
-
2Penn State University0.54+2.62vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University0.63+1.53vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College-0.06+2.28vs Predicted
-
5Queen's University1.57-2.26vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.92+2.66vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary-0.40-0.10vs Predicted
-
8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-1.18vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech-0.81-0.69vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland-0.82-1.62vs Predicted
-
11Virginia Tech-0.81-2.69vs Predicted
-
12Washington College-0.87-3.56vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University-2.28-1.35vs Predicted
-
14Rutgers University-2.23-2.57vs Predicted
-
15University of Delaware-2.96-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.62Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
-
4.62Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
-
4.53Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
-
6.28SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
-
2.74Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
-
8.66Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.9William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.82Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
-
8.31Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.38University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
-
8.31Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.44Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
11.65Drexel University-2.280.0%1st Place
-
11.43Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.63University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 18.6% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 10.7% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Thompson | 29.7% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Walerys | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 28.2% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 24.7% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 21.6% | 50.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.