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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.57vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+2.38vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.54+1.69vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.87+4.35vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.06+1.32vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.40+1.18vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.57-4.37vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.81+0.14vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-2.12vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.81-1.86vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.82-2.70vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-2.66+0.20vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.92-4.51vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.96-1.49vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.23-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.38Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.69Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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8.35Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.32SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.18William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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2.63Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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8.14Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.88Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.14Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.2Drexel University-2.660.0%1st Place
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8.49Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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11.35Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 18.8% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 12.7% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Thompson | 33.2% | 22.9% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weiss | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 14.9% | 28.6% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 12.2% | 24.5% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 28.0% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.