← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.58vs Predicted
-
2Penn State University0.54+2.61vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University1.57-0.33vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University0.63+0.54vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-0.81+3.26vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.33vs Predicted
-
7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.37vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.40-0.92vs Predicted
-
9Washington College-0.87-0.60vs Predicted
-
10Virginia Tech-0.81-1.74vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-0.82-2.69vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-2.96+0.65vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-0.92-4.46vs Predicted
-
14Rutgers University-2.23-2.69vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University-2.66-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
-
4.61Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
-
2.67Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
-
4.54Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
-
8.26Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
-
6.33SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
-
6.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
-
7.08William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
-
8.4Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.26Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.31University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
-
12.65University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
-
8.54Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.31Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.09Drexel University-2.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 18.7% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Thompson | 32.7% | 23.6% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 48.8% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 20.7% | 28.8% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weiss | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 28.4% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.