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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.62vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.54+2.61vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.06+3.25vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.63+0.53vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92+3.64vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.57-3.19vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.81+0.99vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-1.16vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.81-1.01vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.87-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.82-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96+0.73vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.23-1.45vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-2.28-2.50vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.40-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.61Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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6.25SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.53Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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8.64Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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2.81Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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7.99Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.84Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.99Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.52Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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11.55Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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11.5Drexel University-2.280.0%1st Place
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7.06William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 18.8% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Thompson | 29.3% | 23.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 21.8% | 52.7% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 19.9% | 26.3% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Walerys | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 29.3% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.