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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+3.71vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.57+0.61vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.63+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.82+4.22vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-1.33vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.94vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.81+0.95vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.81vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.40-1.84vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.81-2.05vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.92-2.43vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-2.23-0.49vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.87-4.67vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-2.66-1.92vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.96-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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2.61Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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4.51Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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3.67Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.94Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.95Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.19SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.16William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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7.95Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.57Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.51Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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8.33Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.08Drexel University-2.660.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 11.2% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Thompson | 32.9% | 25.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 16.4% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 28.0% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weiss | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 15.6% | 29.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 23.9% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.