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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.57+1.71vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+2.41vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+0.57vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.40+3.19vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.82+3.28vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.92+2.63vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.33vs Predicted
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8Penn State University0.54-3.26vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.81-0.71vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.06-3.65vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.87-2.54vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.81-3.71vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.23-1.46vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-2.28-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.96-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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4.41Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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3.57Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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7.19William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.63Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.67Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.74Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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8.29Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.35SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.46Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.29Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.54Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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11.54Drexel University-2.280.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson | 32.2% | 23.9% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 19.0% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 26.5% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Walerys | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 26.0% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 21.3% | 50.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.