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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.61+1.21vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.64+1.58vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.21+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-0.50vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.85+2.29vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.97-2.82vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.70+0.04vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.07-1.86vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-2.41-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Notre Dame1.6137.5%1st Place
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3.58Ohio State University0.6414.3%1st Place
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4.22Marquette University0.219.7%1st Place
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3.5University of Michigan0.6814.1%1st Place
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7.29Western Michigan University-1.850.9%1st Place
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3.18Michigan Technological University0.9717.8%1st Place
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7.04University of Notre Dame-1.701.4%1st Place
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6.14Purdue University-1.073.3%1st Place
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7.85Saint Mary's College-2.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 37.5% | 28.1% | 18.4% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 14.3% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Homa | 14.1% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William O'Haver | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 29.2% | 25.7% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 17.8% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 24.9% | 27.7% | 19.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 24.8% | 24.9% | 16.4% | 6.7% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 23.3% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.