Race 15A

senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gavin Rudolph 17.2% 20.3% 13.7% 13.5% 10.2% 8.9% 6.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Ramos 24.2% 16.8% 17.0% 14.4% 10.0% 7.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Victoria Miller 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 3.7% 4.8% 5.1% 5.3% 7.7% 7.2% 9.9% 15.4% 15.2% 11.7% 5.6%
Gordon Wolcott 15.1% 15.8% 15.6% 13.0% 11.8% 8.4% 6.9% 7.1% 3.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 3.2% 4.6% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 7.5% 9.4% 10.3% 11.8% 10.5% 9.5% 7.7% 5.2% 1.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 4.5% 4.1% 5.5% 8.4% 7.8% 12.4% 11.1% 12.6% 11.5% 9.3% 4.0%
Hussain Patel 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 6.2% 4.5% 6.8% 6.8% 8.6% 10.9% 13.8% 14.5% 10.9% 5.4%
Isaac Clark 4.5% 3.6% 5.5% 6.0% 6.7% 7.9% 8.3% 9.0% 10.4% 11.0% 9.7% 9.3% 6.3% 1.8%
Sam Fitzgerald 9.4% 9.6% 10.6% 10.9% 10.6% 13.2% 10.1% 9.1% 7.8% 4.6% 2.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
John Wallace 8.9% 9.6% 11.4% 10.5% 11.5% 11.3% 10.2% 10.0% 6.7% 5.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Tristan Berne 6.0% 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 9.5% 10.7% 10.1% 10.4% 9.9% 9.3% 7.2% 4.5% 2.5% 0.3%
John O'Riordan 2.3% 2.7% 3.9% 4.8% 4.5% 6.3% 7.9% 9.7% 11.3% 12.3% 11.3% 11.8% 7.1% 4.1%
John Bankert 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.8% 3.7% 5.9% 10.1% 20.4% 46.5%
Edward Doran 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 7.6% 7.7% 12.2% 25.3% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.