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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.57+1.73vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+1.46vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.54+1.72vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.63+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.82+3.34vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.92+2.65vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.40-0.10vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-1.16vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.87-0.56vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.81-1.65vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.06-4.67vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.81-3.65vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-2.28-1.36vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.23-2.57vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.96-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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3.46Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.72Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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4.52Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.65Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.9William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.84Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.44Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.35Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.33SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.35Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.64Drexel University-2.280.0%1st Place
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11.43Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson | 32.5% | 23.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 20.4% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Walerys | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 28.6% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 19.8% | 24.7% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 50.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.