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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.57+1.71vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+2.37vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+0.56vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.54+0.74vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92+3.53vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.82+2.31vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.38vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.40-0.92vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.81-0.75vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.87-1.51vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.06-4.71vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.81-3.75vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.23-1.56vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.96-1.47vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-2.66-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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4.37Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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3.56Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.74Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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8.53Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.62Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.08William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.25Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.49Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.29SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.25Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.44Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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12.09Drexel University-2.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson | 33.1% | 23.0% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 18.8% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 23.2% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 12.3% | 23.5% | 46.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weiss | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.