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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.55vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.57+0.61vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+3.87vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.63+0.53vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.54-0.20vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.81+2.35vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.82+0.14vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.74vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.40-2.85vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.87-2.60vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-2.66+0.23vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.81-4.65vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.96-1.47vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.23-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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2.61Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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6.87Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.53Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.8Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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8.35Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.25Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.26SUNY Maritime College-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.15William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.4Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.23Drexel University-2.660.0%1st Place
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8.35Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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11.33Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 19.4% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Thompson | 33.1% | 24.0% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weiss | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 28.3% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 12.4% | 23.0% | 46.8% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 21.4% | 26.6% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.