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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.57+1.71vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.92+6.40vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.81+5.24vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08-0.40vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.06+1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.82+2.37vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.40-0.08vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-2.28+3.51vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.63-4.39vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.81-1.76vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.87-2.53vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-2.23-0.44vs Predicted
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13Penn State University0.54-8.17vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.96-1.39vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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8.4Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.24Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.6Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.35SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.92William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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11.51Drexel University-2.280.0%1st Place
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4.61Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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8.24Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.47Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.56Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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4.83Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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6.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson | 32.3% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 17.8% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Walerys | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 26.0% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 28.0% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 22.5% | 50.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.