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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.54+3.71vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.57+0.68vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+0.56vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.63+0.58vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.06+1.36vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.40+1.22vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.82+0.20vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.81-0.70vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.87-1.48vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.81-2.70vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-2.28-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.96-0.32vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.23-2.53vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-8.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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2.68Queen's University1.570.3%1st Place
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3.56Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.58Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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6.36SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.22William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.29Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.3Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.52Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.3Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.64Drexel University-2.280.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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11.47Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Thompson | 30.5% | 25.5% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 19.6% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Barker | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hoppe | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Walerys | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 17.4% | 28.2% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Polak | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 22.4% | 50.5% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 26.3% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.