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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+5.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+4.10vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.80+3.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+0.65vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-2.43vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51+0.12vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.48-3.80vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.77vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.78vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-3.05vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.94-2.62vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-4.04vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.64+1.00vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-3.80vs Predicted
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17The Citadel-0.68-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.57Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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8.12University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.2Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Saint Thomas0.470.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.95Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.38Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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16.0Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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12.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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14.73The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 16.0% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 2.6% |
| Emma Wang | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 18.1% | 65.3% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 3.6% |
| Henry Parker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 36.0% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.