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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+5.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+1.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+2.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.80+2.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+0.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+3.10vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51+0.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.48-3.85vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-2.96vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas0.47-1.15vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.68+0.69vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.64+0.99vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.94-5.64vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.64Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.21Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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6.66Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.13University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Saint Thomas0.470.0%1st Place
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14.69The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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15.99Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.36Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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12.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 3.3% |
| Henry Parker | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 35.5% | 24.3% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 17.7% | 65.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.