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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.93+5.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+5.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+1.66vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+2.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.33vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31+3.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.48-1.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.68vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.94+1.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+0.06vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-4.34vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.51-3.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.63-1.54vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.80-6.60vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.68-0.40vs Predicted
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16University of Saint Thomas0.47-4.06vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.64-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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4.66Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.2Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.22Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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5.01Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.52Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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6.66Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.34University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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14.6The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Saint Thomas0.470.0%1st Place
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16.15Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 15.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Emma Wang | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Reshetiloff | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Parker | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 38.1% | 22.8% |
| Greg Bittle | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 3.7% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 17.0% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.