Race 16A

senators-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gordon Wolcott 15.5% 17.2% 15.0% 12.8% 11.6% 8.4% 7.4% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Gavin Rudolph 17.6% 17.2% 18.4% 11.8% 12.5% 8.4% 5.4% 4.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Ramos 21.0% 19.3% 16.8% 14.2% 9.0% 8.6% 5.1% 2.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John O'Riordan 2.2% 2.9% 3.8% 5.1% 4.9% 7.6% 8.2% 7.5% 9.9% 10.9% 12.7% 12.9% 8.6% 2.8%
Billy Hluchan 4.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.1% 8.0% 7.5% 9.2% 11.2% 10.7% 10.2% 9.7% 8.4% 3.8% 1.7%
Tristan Berne 6.2% 4.2% 6.8% 9.4% 8.7% 9.2% 10.6% 11.5% 10.4% 8.9% 7.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5%
John Wallace 11.1% 11.3% 9.7% 12.5% 11.2% 10.1% 11.7% 9.0% 6.8% 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.2%
Sam Fitzgerald 9.8% 10.8% 10.5% 11.8% 10.6% 12.0% 9.8% 7.1% 7.7% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 3.7% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 6.3% 4.8% 6.8% 9.3% 11.9% 12.4% 14.0% 10.2% 9.5% 2.2%
Isaac Clark 3.4% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 8.2% 8.5% 8.7% 10.6% 9.9% 10.9% 11.3% 9.8% 5.0% 1.8%
John Bankert 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 2.0% 3.0% 4.5% 5.4% 10.2% 19.4% 49.1%
Hussain Patel 1.6% 2.5% 2.3% 3.6% 3.4% 5.3% 6.6% 7.4% 8.9% 13.4% 12.2% 14.7% 12.2% 5.9%
Victoria Miller 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 3.5% 3.3% 6.2% 5.9% 8.5% 9.0% 12.0% 12.0% 15.3% 11.4% 4.8%
Edward Doran 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 6.3% 8.6% 10.2% 27.3% 31.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.