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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.61+1.20vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.21+2.26vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64+0.58vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.07+2.08vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.97-1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.68-2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.70+0.08vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.85-0.69vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-2.41-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Notre Dame1.6139.4%1st Place
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4.26Marquette University0.218.6%1st Place
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3.58Ohio State University0.6412.7%1st Place
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6.08Purdue University-1.073.1%1st Place
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3.21Michigan Technological University0.9717.5%1st Place
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3.42University of Michigan0.6815.8%1st Place
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7.08University of Notre Dame-1.701.2%1st Place
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7.31Western Michigan University-1.850.9%1st Place
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7.85Saint Mary's College-2.410.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 39.4% | 25.7% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 16.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Hershey | 12.7% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 22.5% | 25.9% | 16.2% | 6.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 17.5% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Homa | 15.8% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 23.8% | 29.2% | 18.9% |
| William O'Haver | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 29.5% | 26.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.