← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+3.50vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.80+5.18vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.48+2.11vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.14+2.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.84+2.06vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+4.34vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.63+4.33vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.68vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.51-0.53vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.94+0.25vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.31-1.83vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.93-5.15vs Predicted
-
13The Citadel-0.68+1.63vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.03-7.40vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-5.09vs Predicted
-
16University of Saint Thomas0.47-4.04vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-1.64-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.5Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
7.18Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
-
5.11Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
6.19Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.06University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
11.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
-
7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
8.47University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
-
10.25Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
-
9.17Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
6.85Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
14.63The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
6.6Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
9.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
11.96University of Saint Thomas0.470.0%1st Place
-
16.15Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 17.3% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 12.8% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Wang | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Max Reshetiloff | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 1.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 39.0% | 23.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Greg Bittle | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 3.2% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.