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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.61+1.25vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.07+4.43vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.97+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-0.33vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.21-0.61vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.64-2.26vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-2.41+1.11vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.51-2.35vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.85-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Notre Dame1.6138.0%1st Place
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6.43Purdue University-1.071.9%1st Place
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3.28Michigan Technological University0.9717.8%1st Place
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3.67University of Michigan0.6812.7%1st Place
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4.39Marquette University0.219.6%1st Place
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3.74Ohio State University0.6414.1%1st Place
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8.11Saint Mary's College-2.410.4%1st Place
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5.65University of Notre Dame-0.514.4%1st Place
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7.49Western Michigan University-1.851.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 38.0% | 25.5% | 19.6% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 27.4% | 23.3% | 8.3% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 17.8% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Homa | 12.7% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Hershey | 14.1% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 21.6% | 57.8% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 13.7% | 3.2% |
| William O'Haver | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 16.6% | 34.5% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.