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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+6.96vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+3.59vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+5.79vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+6.37vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.53+0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.90vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.39vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.94+0.04vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.10-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.13+1.80vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.17+0.49vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.77-2.85vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.10-5.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.87vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-4.43vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.43-1.87vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.09-5.24vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.59-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.79Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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5.84Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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10.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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8.04Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.41College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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11.49Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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9.15Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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13.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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14.13Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
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11.76Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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9.35Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 19.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Ava Gustafson | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 30.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% |
| Chase Decker | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.